Most recent 40 articles: Yale Climate Connections - Weather
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Cartoons: ‘You said to pack only the essentials.’ - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Dec 1) |
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Yale Climate Connections
Related: Is your home in danger from flooding?
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Tom Toro
Tom Toro is a cartoonist and author. He has published over 200 cartoons in The New Yorker since 2010. His cartoons appear in Playboy, the Paris Review, the New York Times, American Bystander, and elsewhere.... More by Tom Toro
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The unusual 2023 Atlantic hurricane season ends - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Nov 30) |
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As the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season began, hurricane experts were unsure what to expect: How many named storms would form? How many major hurricanes?
On one hand, scientists were forecasting an El Niño. The natural phenomenon is part of a recurring ocean-and-atmosphere pattern that warms and cools the eastern tropical Pacific through El Niño and La Niña events that last from one to three years. El Niño conditions usually lead to below-average hurricane seasons ... Read more ...
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Is your home in danger from flooding? - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Nov 17) |
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If you own a home, you’ve probably poured a lifetime of savings into it.
That asset could be in more danger than you think.
Climate change is supercharging the water cycle, increasing the risk of major floods and making many properties more vulnerable than they were in the past. And if you’re like most U.S. residents, you don’t have flood insurance. Homeowner’s insurance policies often don’t cover flood damage, so if one does occur on your property, fixing ... Read more ...
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Potential Tropical Cyclone 22 bringing dangerous heavy rains to the Caribbean - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Nov 17) |
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In what is shaping up to be one of the most dangerous flood threats of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, Potential Tropical Cyclone 22 was spreading torrential rains across the central and southwestern Caribbean on Friday afternoon. Of particular concern were the heavy rains occurring over southwestern Haiti, where deforestation in mountainous areas makes a highly vulnerable population at risk of deadly flash flooding.
At 10 a.m. EST Friday, Potential Tropical ... Read more ...
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Last month was by far the world’s hottest October on record - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Nov 15) |
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October 2023 was the hottest October on record globally in analyses dating back to 1850, said NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information on November 15. NOAA, NASA, the Japan Meteorological Agency, and the European Copernicus Climate Change Service all rated October 2023 as the warmest October on record, crushing the previous October record by a huge margin.
According to NOAA, October global temperatures spiked to a remarkable 1.34 degrees Celsius ... Read more ...
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A tropical storm may emerge in the Caribbean late this week - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Nov 13) |
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A disturbance in the Caribbean is likely to evolve into a tropical depression or tropical storm by late week, perhaps bringing dangerously heavy amounts of rain to Hispaniola and eastern Cuba as it heads northeast. In its Tropical Weather Outlook issued at 1 p.m. EST Monday, the National Hurricane Center gave this system a 70% chance of developing into at least a tropical depression in the seven-day period through Monday, November 20.
The new system is expected to ... Read more ...
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A 205-mph (330 kph) wind gust measured in Hurricane Otis - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Nov 3) |
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As Hurricane Otis made landfall in Acapulco, Mexico, on Wednesday, October 25, as a Category 5 hurricane with 165 mph sustained winds, a wind gust of 205 mph (330 kph, or 113.3 m/s) was recorded at the port authority at Acapulco Bay. If verified, this would be one of the top 15 strongest wind gusts ever recorded globally by a ground-based instrument. Sustained winds for hurricanes in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific are typically averaged across one minute, whereas a ... Read more ...
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Disturbance 97L likely to bring heavy rains to Central America this weekend - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Nov 1) |
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Tropical disturbance 97L in the central Caribbean has the potential to become a tropical depression or tropical storm late this week in the western Caribbean as it tracks westward toward Central America. Regardless of whether 97L develops further, it will bring heavy rains of four to eight inches to eastern portions of Nicaragua and Honduras this weekend.
Satellite images early Wednesday afternoon showed that 97L was disorganized, with only a modest amount of ... Read more ...
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Late-week western Caribbean disturbance may develop - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 30) |
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The western Caribbean is the potential breeding ground for a tropical cyclone this week, with Central America most at risk of seeing impacts by the end of the week - on the heels of another system, Tropical Storm Pilar, that will drench the Pacific side of Central America.
Conditions in the western Caribbean will be favorable for tropical cyclone development this week, with record-warm waters of about 30 degrees Celsius (86°F), plenty of atmospheric moisture, and ... Read more ...
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Otis gains strength as it approaches the southern Mexican coast - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 24) |
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The Pacific waters south of Mexico – warmed by a strong El Niño event atop long-term climate change – are spawning yet another landfalling hurricane. As of 11 a.m. EDT Tuesday, Tropical Storm Otis was located about 155 miles south-southeast of Acapulco, continuing on a steady north-northwest pace at 8 mph. Otis’s top sustained winds were up to 70 mph, and the National Hurricane Center predicts that Otis will reach hurricane strength on Tuesday before making landfall on ... Read more ...
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How drought and rising temperatures drove millions of Somalis from their homes - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 23) |
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Between 2016 and 2018, more than 2 million people in Somalia fled their homes, finding refuge elsewhere within their country.
Some said they left because of violent conflict. Even more said they left because of drought.
“We know that Somalia experienced a severe drought since 2016,” says Lisa Thalheimer of Oxford University.
To better understand how hot, dry conditions contributed to internal displacement, she analyzed roughly three years of weather data.
She found that a reduction in precipitation from about two inches a month to ... Read more ...
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Tropical cyclones we’re watching: Tammy, Norma, Otis, Tej, 95L, 06B, and Lola - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 23) |
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Monday was a notably busy October 23 for the world’s cyclone-producing tropical ocean basins. The day kicked off with six tropical cyclones churning across the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, Southwest Pacific, North Indian, and North Arabian seas; only the Northwest Pacific and South Indian oceans were tropical cyclone-free. According to Colorado State University, all of the Northern Hemisphere basins are running above average for accumulated ... Read more ...
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Tammy sweeps into Northern Leewards; Norma hammers Cabo San Lucas, Mexico - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 21) |
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Saturday, October 21, brought a juxtaposition you don’t see often: in the Atlantic, Hurricane Tammy was moving through the Northern Leeward Islands, while in the eastern Pacific, Hurricane Norma was making landfall over southernmost Baja California, Mexico. Neither Tammy nor Norma was a major hurricane, but they both stood to bring significant impacts on either side of the Americas.
UPDATE: Tammy made landfall on the island of Barbuda around 0115 UTC Sunday, ... | By Monday, Tej is expected to pull dry air from the deserts of the Middle East into its circulation, resulting in rapid weakening. Landfall as a tropical storm near the Yemen/Oman border is predicted to occur near 12Z Tuesday. The 6Z Saturday run of the HAFS-A model was predicting that Tej would bring Read more ...
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Hurricane Tammy strengthening as it approaches the Leeward Islands - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 20) |
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Hurricane Warnings are up for much of the Leeward Islands as an intensifying Hurricane Tammy gathers strength in the record-warm waters of the tropical Atlantic. Tammy is expected to be a category 1 hurricane as it passes near or over the Leeward Islands Friday night through Saturday night.
At 11 a.m. EDT Friday, Tammy was located about 240 miles southeast of Guadeloupe, headed west-northwest at 7 mph with top sustained winds of 75 mph and ... Read more ...
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Disturbance 94L a threat to the Lesser Antilles - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 18) |
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A tropical wave designated Invest 94L was located about 800 miles east of the Lesser Antilles islands on Wednesday afternoon, and was headed west to west-northwest at about 15 mph. This wave is expected to spread heavy rains and strong, gusty winds into the Lesser Antilles on Friday and Saturday, and is likely to become at least a tropical depression by Thursday.
Satellite images on Wednesday afternoon showed that 94L had a modest amount of heavy thunderstorms, ... | By Wednesday morning, Norma had already built a large core of intense showers and thunderstorms (convection) with extensive banding. Strong outflow at the top of Norma was being assisted by a powerful jet stream just to the north, with an arc of cirrus extending all the way to the Gulf of Mexico. Norma Read more ...
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New named storms possible this week in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 16) |
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There were no tropical cyclones active anywhere in the world on Monday after the demise of Tropical Storm Sean in the Atlantic on Sunday night. This quietness is expected to end later this week, with potential threats to watch in the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, and North Indian Ocean.
Although the Atlantic’s Cabo Verde hurricane season is near its end, one more disturbance from Africa now traversing the tropical Atlantic could develop as it ... Read more ...
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September 2023 was Earth’s most extreme month for heat ever recorded - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 13) |
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September 2023 smashed the record for the most extreme month for heat in Earth’s history, recording the highest departure from average of any month in analyses dating back to 1850, said NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information on October 13. NOAA, NASA, Berkeley Earth, and the European Copernicus Climate Change Service all rated September 2023 as the warmest September on record, crushing the previous September record by a huge margin. And famed climate ... Read more ...
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The next Atlantic system may threaten the Lesser Antilles - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 13) |
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Tropical Storm Sean was on its last legs Friday as an unremarkable Atlantic system, but a new disturbance will need to be watched much more closely. This system, dubbed Invest 94L by the National Hurricane Center, shows signs of marching across the Main Development Region and possibly reaching the Lesser Antilles as a tropical depression or named storm late in the week, which would be a rare occurrence for so late in hurricane season.
Satellite images on Friday ... Read more ...
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Cat 4 Lidia is Mexico’s 3rd-strongest landfalling Pacific hurricane on record - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 11) |
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After a phenomenal burst of rapid intensification on Tuesday, Hurricane Lidia made landfall at 7:50 p.m. EDT Tuesday, October 10, as a dangerous Category 4 storm with top sustained winds of 140 mph and a central pressure of 942 mb. This makes Lidia tied as the third-strongest landfalling Pacific hurricane on record for Mexico (see the Wikipedia table below, which includes both Mexico and Hawaii landfalls).
Lidia hit the coast about 35 miles ... Read more ...
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Pacific coast of Mexico preps for a one-two punch from Max and Lidia - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 9) |
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Two named storms in less than 48 hours will slam into Mexico’s Pacific coastline early this week – one of them likely to be a strengthening hurricane – making for an unusual double-barreled threat. Yet another tropical cyclone will make landfall in the Pacific during the same period – this one expected to strike the U.S. Northern Mariana Islands as an intensifying typhoon.
First to make landfall will be Tropical Storm Max, which developed ... Read more ...
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Long-lived but underwhelming Philippe goes post-tropical - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 6) |
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Tropical Storm Philippe was declared a post-tropical cyclone by the National Hurricane Center, or NHC, at 11 a.m. EDT Friday, putting an end to almost two weeks of NHC advisories on the system. Though Philippe will still bring heavy rains and strong winds as it heads north toward Atlantic Canada and New England this weekend, the system is merging with broader midlatitude weather features and has taken on the look of an extra-tropical mid-latitude storm, including a ... Read more ...
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Tropical Storm Philippe heads toward Bermuda - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 4) |
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A Tropical Storm Watch is up for Bermuda as a disorganized Tropical Storm Philippe pulls away from the Leeward Islands. Philippe brought flooding rains to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the past few days, but these rains will taper off by Wednesday night.
At 11 a.m. EDT Wednesday, Philippe was located about 770 miles south of Bermuda and was headed north-northwest at 7 mph. Phillipe remained disorganized and had top sustained ... Read more ...
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Tropical Storm Warnings in the Leeward Islands for Philippe - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Oct 2) |
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A Tropical Storm Warning is up for Barbuda and a Tropical Storm Watch for Antigua in the Leeward Islands, where Tropical Storm Philippe is expected to dump heavy rains capable of causing damaging flash flooding and landslides over the next two days.
At 11 a.m. EDT Monday, Tropical Storm Philippe was located about 80 miles east-southeast of Barbuda in the northern Leeward Islands, headed west-northwest at 7 mph, with top sustained winds of ... Read more ...
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Tropical storms Philippe and Rina jostle for position in the Atlantic - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 28) |
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Tropical Storm Rina has become the newest named storm in the hyperactive Atlantic hurricane season of 2023. A disturbance called Invest 91L in the central tropical Atlantic was upgraded to Rina by the National Hurricane Center at 11 a.m. Thursday. With top sustained winds of 40 mph, Rina was located about 1,200 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands, moving north-northwest at 10 mph.
Rina’s formation brings the total 2023 activity in the Atlantic to 18 named ... Read more ...
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Ophelia drenches the U.S. East Coast - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 25) |
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Rains from Tropical Storm Ophelia swept northward from Virginia into New England on Sunday, topping off a soggy weekend along the Interstate 95 corridor from Washington, D.C., to Boston. The heaviest totals from Sunday into early Monday, in the 3-to-5-inch range, stretched from northeast Pennsylvania across the lower Hudson Valley of New York into Connecticut. Peak 24-hour totals through Monday morning included 4.05 inches near Hawley, PA; 3.70 inches at Ulster Park, ... Read more ...
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Heavy rains envelop the U.S. East Coast as Ophelia pushes inland - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 23) |
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Reports of neighborhood and road flooding were increasing across eastern North Carolina as Tropical Storm Ophelia moved through on Saturday afternoon, September 23. Peaking just shy of hurricane strength, Ophelia made a soggy but non-catastrophic landfall at 6:15 a.m. EDT Saturday near Emerald Isle, North Carolina, with top sustained winds of 70 mph. Sustained winds of 61 mph gusting to 73 mph were reported from Cape Lookout, North Carolina, shortly before Ophelia came ... Read more ...
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Free tool helps Gulf Coast residents identify potential risks to their homes - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 21) |
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Sandy beaches and warm weather have long attracted people to the Gulf Coast of the U.S. But rising seas and extreme weather put many homes there at risk.
To help residents in the region understand the threats to specific properties, researchers have created a free online tool called HazardAware.
“It’s a website that people can come to and learn about what hazards their home or prospective home - or their apartment - what hazards they face, and more importantly, what they can do to mitigate those hazards,” says Chris Emrich of the University ... Read more ...
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Tropical Storm Warnings flying as Potential Tropical Cyclone 16 heads for North Carolina - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 21) |
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A non-tropical area of low pressure was developing on Thursday afternoon near the Southeast U.S. coast along an old frontal boundary, and this low has the potential to evolve into a tropical storm by Saturday as it heads north toward North Carolina. This system was given the designation Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen (PTC 16) by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) at 11 a.m. EDT Thursday.
Regardless of whether PTC 16 gets named, it will bring impacts typical ... Read more ...
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A very busy Atlantic hurricane season continues: Hurricane Nigel is here - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 18) |
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Hurricane Nigel is intensifying over the warm waters of the remote central Atlantic and is expected to become the season’s fourth major hurricane on Tuesday. At 11 a.m. EDT Monday, Nigel was located 875 miles east-southeast of Bermuda, headed northwest at 12 mph, with top sustained winds of 80 mph and a central pressure of 984 mb. The National Hurricane Center was predicting that Nigel’s winds would increase by 35 mph in a 24-hour period, which would meet the minimum ... Read more ...
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Lee goes post-tropical before reaching Nova Scotia - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 16) |
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Once a category 5 monster, Post-Tropical Cyclone Lee was pushing into far western Nova Scotia and New Brunswick on Saturday much larger in size but much weaker in strength than during its time in the tropics. Ferry crossings were cancelled across much of Atlantic Canada as the provinces hunkered down for high winds, rough seas, and heavy rain. Pockets of flooding were reported in Nova Scotia by early afternoon Saturday, including at Peggys Cove on the rugged southwest ... Read more ...
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Are we causing more wildfires? - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 15) |
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What on Earth is going on with wildfires? They’ve been increasing in intensity, frequency, and duration. And the tragic fires in Maui are just one recent example.
In this video, meteorologist Alexandra Steele explains why wildfires are getting worse and if we’re to blame.
It features Yale Climate Connections meteorologist Dr. Jeff Masters, researchers Dr. Don Lucas and Dr. Robert Scheller, and renowned climate communicator Susan Joy ... Read more ...
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Many people in flood-prone areas of Lagos, Nigeria, would like to relocate within the city - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 15) |
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In the huge coastal city of Lagos, Nigeria, rising seas and more extreme storms put millions of people at risk of flooding.
“And so I was expecting that people would want to move, especially when I was talking to young people,” says Susan Ekoh of the German Institute of Development and Sustainability.
While a graduate student at the State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry, she surveyed about 350 Lagos residents.
She asked about their experiences with flooding and if they’d consider moving in response to ... Read more ...
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Tropical Storm Warnings up for New England and Atlantic Canada as Hurricane Lee approaches - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 15) |
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Hurricane Lee, still at hurricane strength after nine days, is on its final approach to a landfall in southwestern Nova Scotia, expected to occur on Saturday. Lee is a large and powerful storm that will bring hazardous heavy rains, tree-felling winds, and coastal flooding to a large portion of Atlantic Canada and New England.
Lee battered Bermuda for much of the day Thursday, bringing pounding surf and sustained tropical-storm-force winds that caused widespread ... Read more ...
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August 2023 was Earth’s hottest August on record - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 14) |
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August 2023 smashed the record for hottest August in Earth’s history, spiking to a remarkable 1.25 degrees Celsius (2.25°F) above the 20th-century average, NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information reported September 14. NASA, Berkeley Earth, the Japan Meteorological Agency, and the European Copernicus Climate Change Service also rated August 2023 as the warmest August on record, crushing the previous August record by a huge margin. Global temperature ... Read more ...
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Hurricane Lee turns north, takes aim at New England and Atlantic Canada - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 13) |
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Hurricane Lee has carved out its long-awaited right turn and is now swinging northward toward a landfall expected to occur in eastern New England or Atlantic Canada this week. Lee is predicted to be a hurricane until hours before it reaches the coast, and it will most likely come ashore as a powerful post-tropical storm with high winds capable of bringing down trees and power lines across a widespread area. Lee will also dump torrential rains across the region, which ... Read more ...
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The Libya floods: a climate and infrastructure catastrophe - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 13) |
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Africa’s deadliest storm in recorded history struck eastern Libya on Sunday and Monday, leaving thousands dead and an already struggling society faced with a mammoth recovery effort. Storm Daniel’s preliminary death toll of 5,300 in Libya as of Wednesday morning surpasses the 1927 floods in Algeria (3,000 killed) as the deadliest storm in Africa since 1900, according to statistics from EM-DAT, the international disaster database. Storm Daniel is also the deadliest ... Read more ...
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How back-to-back disasters strain community resources - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 12) |
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In September 2020, hazardous wildfire smoke blanketed Portland, Oregon.
That winter, a major snow and ice storm knocked down trees and power lines, paralyzing the city.
Just four months later, a record-breaking heat wave caused about 70 deaths in Portland alone.
“What I’m realizing in my research … is that these hazards are no longer isolated and that we’re getting many of these hazards - sometimes … in just a short period of one another,” says Jola Ajibade, an associate professor at Emory University, who was previously at ... Read more ...
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Hurricane Lee grows in size, maintaining its intensity - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 12) |
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Hurricane Lee has maintained its intensity while expanding greatly in size as it continues to churn toward an expected landfall in Atlantic Canada or New England this weekend. Lee’s large size and high winds will create huge waves that will batter most of the Atlantic coast from the Caribbean to Atlantic Canada this week.
As of 11 a.m. EDT Tuesday, Lee was a Category 3 hurricane with top sustained winds of 115 mph and a central pressure of ... Read more ...
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Hurricane Lee slows and reorganizes - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 11) |
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Hurricane Lee continued to churn in the western North Atlantic on Monday, slowing down as it prepares to make a long-anticipated turn likely to bring it near Atlantic Canada or New England by this weekend. Regardless of any potential landfall, Lee will push immense amounts of water toward the U.S. East Coast later this week, causing widespread swells, rough surf, rip currents, and beach erosion.
As of 11 a.m. EDT Monday, Lee was a Category 3 hurricane with top ... Read more ...
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Summer 2023 broke dozens of all-time monthly heat records - Yale Climate Connections - Weather (Sep 11) |
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Dozens of places from Arizona to Florida had their hottest months on record during one of the most scorching stretches in U.S. history, a disaster cataloged in the national climate summary for summer 2023 released by NOAA on Monday. Many folks from Detroit to Boston experienced a summer near or slightly cooler than average, but that didn’t comfort others across rapidly growing Sun Belt states. For many of them, the period from June to August was a brutal ordeal, ... Read more ...
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